November 20, 2018
Good Morning,
Corn is trading even and soybeans are up five this morning. Trade has shown low volume early this week. Yesterday saw 90% of the US corn crop harvested, as reported by USDA report.
A story by Wire reported that of the $12 billion bailout only $838 million has been paid out so far. This program has been available since September, and the limitations are dragging out the ability for farmers to use it. Chinese and their government are looking to also make their farming practices more efficient, and lower their import demand.
We have several adjustments to our receiving hours in the next week be sure to visit our website or call in to get the latest schedule.
Have a Great Day!
Mitch Giebel
920-348-6861
mgiebel@didionmilling.com
November 19, 2018
Good Morning,
Corn is trading even and soybeans down fifteen this morning. Trade is expecting 91% corn harvested and 93% soybeans harvested on this afternoons USDA report. President Trump has stated that China has sent a list of items they are willing to negotiate on, to resolve trade tensions. Trump states they are not quite to a resolution, and there are items that need to be added to the started list of 142. This is also a reason the market failed to hold momentum thru this last week.
We have several adjustments to our receiving hours in the next week be sure to visit our website or call in to get the latest schedule.
Have a Great Day!
Mitch Giebel
920-348-6861
mgiebel@didionmilling.com
November 16, 2018
Good Morning,
Corn and soybeans are trading lower this morning after attempts to rally the markets yesterday ran out of steam. Traders are trying to figure out what to make of conflicting statements from the White House over the current state of tariff discussions with China. With the meeting between President Trump and Xi scheduled for the end of the month at the G20 meeting, Fund managers will be closely watching to see what the tone is between the two. It sounds like President Trump will require that soybeans be a part of any deal negotiated with China. Our window for export sales to be booked is slowly closing but can be quickly overcome if the recent trade restrictions on Chinese demand are backed off.
Weekly export sales were reported at 35.1 million bushels for corn and 17.3 million bushels for soybeans. Both are right on pace with the ten week average.
We have several adjustments to our receiving hours in the next week be sure to visit our website or call in to get the latest schedule.
Have a Safe Weekend!
Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com
November 15, 2018
Good Morning,
Reports that China sent the US their own trade adjustments yesterday afternoon to get renegotiations moving forward once again have the markets trading higher this morning. More of these optimistic talks could spark as we get closer to the G-20 Summit at the end of this month. While this is great news and supportive to the market those with bullish thoughts about the markets need to keep a couple things in mind:
1. Nothing has been finalized yet.
2. China has found other suppliers for their soybeans and alternative sources for protein in the last 6 months.
3. We are currently putting away one of the largest corn and bean crops in US history.
Corn is trading 3 higher and soybeans are 8 higher to open the day.
Producers looking for space to put away this year’s crop or looking to core out bins before the first of the year should be targeting sales in the $3.40-3.50 range.
Have a Safe Day!
Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com
November 13, 2018
Good Morning,
Futures prices at the CBOT are trading mixed in a bit of a Turnaround Tuesday with beans up 3, corn down 3 following yesterday’s surge in prices on short-covering in the grains.
Yesterday there were rumors that further negotiations between the US and China would be underway this week. Chinese vice-premier Lui He is expected to visit the US soon, for talks with high level officials. Lui is believed to be visiting Washington in order to make preparations ahead of the G20 meeting at the end of November. Lui and Vice President Mike Pence are at the ASEAN Summit in Singapore today. World leaders are worried about the trade tension between the two world powers and thinks its bound to create a domino effect that will affect trade reactions from other developing nations.
Nevertheless, on the daily system this morning you have private exporters reporting to the USDA export sales of 276.7 TMT of new crop soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations. The cash premiums in Brazil for soybeans have gotten murdered in the last week, down over $1 to $1.70 over the CBOT versus $2.75 in September and October. This has exporters there worried that they will see a significant decline in their market share if the US and China can come to some sort of resolution to end the trade war.
We can make a leap of faith here and say that once again sales to “unknown destinations” are most likely sales to China. For the most part right now, beans originating out of Brazilian ports continue to remain more attractive to the Chinese than those originating out of the Pacific-Northwest (PNW). The window is now open to get something done on a new trade deal because it will not be very long until boats in S. America begin loading new crop beans in late January/ early February.
Delivery Reminders for Didion –
1. We are only accepting November contracted corn. December contracts will have to hold off until December.
2. We are still buying spot and Last Half November corn.
3. All loads must be scheduled prior to delivery. This allows us to manage space and keep you from waiting in long lines.
4. Plan ahead when scheduling your loads. We would recommend you call at least 1 day in advance to schedule your loads.
Have a Safe Day!
Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com