Additional technical selling in corn, beans and wheat yesterday as traders continue to unwind their long positions with good crop ratings and favorable weather. Yesterday’s weekly corn ratings dropped 1 point to 77% G/E which compares to 67% last year and 70% for the 5 year average. Wisconsin remained unchanged from last week at 91% G/E. The early condition of this years crop is going to make it very difficult to rally this market, which is why I believe producers should have firm offers in just above the market for old and new crop corn. Producers should have 70-80% of their old crop sold and 40-50% of their new crop booked at this point. Sales for the 2019 crop of 10% are also recommended.
The USDA S&D report will be out at 11am today. Below are today’s estimates. Check back shortly after 11 for the real numbers.
USDA 2017-18 ending stocks (billion bu)
USDA June 12 Ave Est. USDA May
Corn 2.166 2.182
Soybeans .522 .530
Wheat 1.079 1.070
USDA 2018-19 ending stocks (billion bu)
USDA June 12 Ave. Est. USDA May
Corn 1.663 1.682
Soybeans .417 .415
Wheat .958 .955
Have a Safe Day!