Daily Insights

March 12, 2019

Good Morning,

Corn continued its slide yesterday with wheat pulling it lower and no trade news and export inspections lighter than expected. Weekly corn inspections came in at 765,618 MT for the week versus expectations of 900,000 MT. Reports out yesterday afternoon showed China corn for swine feed use dropping 30% this year as African swine fever outbreak continues to decimate their stock.
The Buenos Aires Grain exchange reported Argentina corn harvest is 4% complete and left their crop estimate at 45MMT. Brazil’s first corn crop is 85% harvested and the second crop is 75% planted.
Its difficult to predict what will move this market higher in the coming months, but most are relying/hoping that spring planting weather to be the catalyst. Temperatures for the next 10 days look cool/wet while the 10 day extended forecast looks to warm up and dry out. Locally we should see significant snow melt the remainder of this week with temperatures in the upper 40’s to mid-50’s.

Producers looking to make cash sales before heading to the fields this spring should give us a call to see how you can get $3.50 for corn delivered in the last half of March – First half of April with a potential sale for December 2019 at $4.00.

Now is the time to start thinking about firm offers for this summer and next fall. Spring planting is not that far away and you don’t want to miss a marketing opportunity because you are too busy in the fields. Give us a call today to get your offers in.

Have a Safe Day!

Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com

March 8, 2019

Good Morning,

Quiet markets this morning as we end the week. On the week we are down 7 cents in corn and 7 cents in soybeans. Wheat has been the big loser this week down 16 after yesterdays close. Funds have added a massive 35,000 contracts to their short corn position in the past two days.
The average trade estimate for US corn ending stocks n today/s WASDE report is 1.736 billion bushels and world corn ending stocks at 309.06 MMT. The average trade estimate for US soybean ending stocks is 902 million bushels and world soybean ending stocks are estimated at 106.33 MMT. Today’s report is expected to be a quiet report with few notable surprises.
Stagnant markets like we have seen the last few months are a good time to look at different marketing alternatives to add cash to your bottom line. Producers looking to make cash sales before heading to the fields this spring should give us a call to see how you can get $3.50 for corn delivered in the Last half of March-First half of April with a potential sale for December 2019 at $4.00.

Have a Safe Day!

Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com

March 7, 2019

Good Morning,

Futures are lower this morning as traders are becoming impatient with just hearing about progress in the negotiations between the US and China and want to see a signed deal before they consider changing their position in the markets.
The USDA will be out with their March WASDE report tomorrow morning. Typically this is one of the quietest of the reactions to a report we will see all year, but given the funds have piled into a large and unusual short position heading into the growing season the trades reaction could be telling ahead of the quarterly Stocks and plantings report on March 29th. This is only the second time since 2007 that money managers have held such a large net short position in early March. President Trump has spoken several times about the FED’s interest rate hike and his desire to see rates again retreat. If the dollar could just retreat some it could be a signal to the bulls that we’ve gone far enough and help spark some additional buying.

Have a Safe Day!
Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com

March 6, 2019

March 6, 2019

Good Morning,

Trade was higher yesterday, with much of the day up two-three cents. Several reports will be coming out over the next three days. Today we’ll see prior week ethanol numbers, tomorrow the USDA export numbers, and a monthly stocks report on Friday. Remember that today and tomorrow numbers will clue us for what to anticipate for Friday’s report.

South American weather is still ideal. The dry area in Brazil will see limited rain over the next two weeks. The rest of Brazil has the same forecast it’s had all season. Argentina also stays in a wetter pattern to finish the growing season.

Corn is down one and soybeans are down four to open the day.

Have a Great Day!

Mitch Giebel
920-348-6861
mgiebel@didionmilling.com

March 5, 2019

Good Morning,

The markets tried to rally yesterday but came into some trouble with a week stock market and a continued bearish sentiment. Farmer sales were heavy yesterday on the rally as a lot of cash is needed with bills pilling up and Spring right around the corner. Producers looking to move corn before planting should be targeting the $3.45-$3.50 range.

South American weather is still ideal. The dry area in Brazil will see limited rain over the next two weeks. The rest of Brazil has the same forecast it’s had all season. Argentina also stays in a wetter pattern to finish the growing season.

Funds remain short 153,000 corn and 60,000 bean contracts after yesterdays close. Traders remain bearish the market and will need some significant news to change their perception.

Corn is unchanged and soybeans are down 4 to open the day.

Have a Safe Day!

Garry Gard
920-348-6844
ggard@didionmilling.com