Daily Insights

June 28, 2019

Good Morning,

Through this morning of trade, corn is currently unchanged and soybeans are up 4 cents. Some heavy rains have moved through the Northern Corn Belt in the last 24 hours and continue into this morning. The bulk of the rain fell from southern MN to central WI where there has been reports of up to 4-6” in some areas. Chances of rain seem to have amped up a bit in the last 24 hours for the region. Rains are expected to return late this weekend and continue throughout the week next week. Some highly anticipated data from the USDA will be released at 11 a.m. and any shocks to the report is expected to cause some aggressive price movements in either way. I would recommend calling today to discuss opportunities to contract grain before and after the report. Below is the USDA June acreage and stock report estimates:

U.S planting of major crops for 2019 harvest (in million acres):
USDA June 28 estimate Average of analyst’s estimates USDA June 11 WASDE
Corn 91.7 86.662 89.8
Soybeans 80.0 84.355 84.6
All wheat 45.6 45.654 45.8

U.S. Quarterly Stocks as of June 1 (in billions of bushels):
USDA June 1 Estimate Average on analyst’s estimates USDA March 1, 2019
Corn 5.2 5.332 8.605
Soybeans 1.8 1.861 2.716
Wheat 1.0 1.100 1.591

Have a great day!
Drake Bliss
920-348-6817
dbliss@didionmilling.com

June 28, 2019

Good Morning,

Through this morning of trade, corn is currently unchanged and soybeans are up 4 cents. Some heavy rains have moved through the Northern Corn Belt in the last 24 hours and continue into this morning. The bulk of the rain fell from southern MN to central WI where there has been reports of up to 4-6” in some areas. Chances of rain seem to have amped up a bit in the last 24 hours for the region. Rains are expected to return late this weekend and continue throughout the week next week. Some highly anticipated data from the USDA will be released at 11 a.m. and any shocks to the report is expected to cause some aggressive price movements in either way. I would recommend calling today to discuss opportunities to contract grain before and after the report. Below is the USDA June acreage and stock report estimates:

U.S planting of major crops for 2019 harvest (in million acres):
USDA June 28 estimate Average of analyst’s estimates USDA June 11 WASDE
Corn – 86.662 89.8
Soybeans – 84.355 84.6
All wheat – 45.654 45.8

U.S. Quarterly Stocks as of June 1 (in billions of bushels):
USDA June 1 Estimate Average on analyst’s estimates USDA March 1, 2019
Corn – 5.332 8.605
Soybeans – 1.861 2.716
Wheat – 1.100 1.591

Have a great day!
Drake Bliss
920-348-6817
dbliss@didionmilling.com

June 27, 2019

Good Morning,

Corn and Soybeans continue to follow this week’s trend of trade with low volume and sideways price movement. Through the overnight, corn went unchanged and soybeans are up 2 cents. Wheat on the other hand traded a bit stronger and is up 7 cents. We are seeing a bit of a surge in the wheat market due to the various crop issues lingering for major global producers. The weather forecasts show chances of scattered thunderstorms in the next couple days with a dry weekend. The weather outlook for the next 10 days shows that temperatures will remain a bit warmer and we could see scattered showers throughout the week next week. Despite some chances of showers, the forecast ultimately shows drier and warmer days ahead. The drier and warmer weather is definitely welcome as we need to collect as many growing degree days as we can with the already shortened planting season. The USDA data is set to be released tomorrow at 11 a.m. giving an update on corn stocks and corn acreage. With this data markets are expected to react accordingly and trade is expected to ramp up by tomorrow afternoon. I would recommend that producers shouldn’t allow their bullish outlooks get in the way of locking in their crop at profitable levels. Curveballs are always possible with USDA reports.

Have a great day!

Drake Bliss
920-348-6817
dbliss@didionmilling.com

June 26, 2019

Good Morning,

Markets are currently trading slightly lower this morning with corn down 3 cents and soybeans down 5 cents. Weather continues to be the driver of the markets through this week of trade. The outlook for the next 10 days calls for warmer temperatures and some drier days. The much needed warmer weather should give the crops a good boost as the number of growing days are becoming crucial with this already shortened planting season. With the heavy rains behind us and more optimistic temperatures on the horizon, I believe trade will be choppy in the days to come and not move too far in one direction or the other. The highly anticipated USDA stocks/acreage report is set to be released at 11 a.m. on Friday and a lot of eyes will be on that. Also, traders will continue to keep an ear open regarding the trade talks that are expected to happen between international leaders at this week’s G20 summit meeting. If you are sitting on any old crop corn, I would recommend calling in the days to come to make sure you take advantage of the opportunities that will arise in the next few days of trade.
Have a great day!

Drake Bliss
920-348-6817
dbliss@didionmilling.com

June 24, 2019

Good Morning,

We start the new week with the markets up through the overnight of trade. Corn is up 4 cents and soybeans are up 6 cents. This week is set to be an eventful one with the release of a few reports and there is a G20 summit meeting where President Trump is expected to speak with international leaders regarding trade. Although the trade disputes are not expected to be resolved, it is very important for our markets that we don’t take any more steps back. There will be a crop progress report released this afternoon at 3 p.m. that will give us more insight to where we are with soybean planting and give an update on the condition of U.S. crops. This Friday, the USDA will release a much anticipated stocks/acreage report at 11 a.m. This report is arguably the most impactful report for this year’s crop and traders will be taking positions before and after the publication. If you are sitting on any old crop corn, I would consider selling some amount this week. With the weather returning back to more normal temperatures and the occurrence of some impactful events I wouldn’t want you to miss out on any opportunities to lock in your crop at profitable levels!

Have a great day!
Drake Bliss
920-348-6817
dbliss@didionmilling.com